No-Vig Fair Odds Calculator
Compare Multiplicative, Additive, Power and Shin probability estimates under their stated margin-allocation assumptions.
Overround
The bookmaker's theoretical profit margin. Positive means they have an edge.
Result
| Calculation Method | Out 1 | Out 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Multiplicative P_fair_i = (1/O_i) / Σ(1/O_k) | - | - |
| De-vigged Odds | - | - |
| Additive P_fair_i = (1/O_i) - margin/n | - | - |
| De-vigged Odds | - | - |
| Power P_fair_i = (1/O_i)^k where Σ(1/O_i)^k = 1 | - | - |
| De-vigged Odds | - | - |
| Shin Find z where Σ(sqrt(z² + 4(1-z)(1/O_i)²/S) - z)/(2(1-z)) = 1; S = Σ(1/O_k) | - | - |
| De-vigged Odds | - | - |
FAQ
What is 'vig' or 'juice'?
Vig (vigorish) or juice is the built-in profit margin bookmakers add to their odds, ensuring they make money over time regardless of the outcome.
Why do I need to calculate 'fair' odds?
Removing the vig helps you find the true probability of an outcome as estimated by the market, which is crucial for identifying +EV (Expected Value) bets.
What is overround?
Overround is the percentage by which the sum of the implied probabilities of all possible outcomes exceeds 100%. This excess represents the bookmaker's margin.
Which de-vigging method is best?
Each method estimates probabilities under different assumptions. Shin models insider trading; no method is universally most accurate.
Can I use this for 3-way markets like soccer?
Yes, this calculator supports both 2-way (e.g., basketball spreads) and 3-way (e.g., soccer match winner) markets.
Removing overround is a model of fair probabilities, not an independent forecast. The methods make different assumptions; check that the outcomes cover the same complete market.
Compare the same market
Partner links1win Sports: check the event, quoted odds and settlement rules
What the price includes → Visit 1win Sports 18+ · Terms on siteStake Sportsbook: compare the same event, market and settlement rules
What the price includes → Visit Stake 18+ · Terms on siteCheck the current price, exact market, settlement rules and availability in your country. A calculator result depends on its assumptions and does not verify a live betting opportunity.