PROBABILITY SUITE // CLIENT-SIDE ENGINES
Tools & Calculators
Interactive mathematical tools and probability models for odds margin removal, positive expected value identification, and optimal staking simulation.
LIVE
No-Vig Fair Odds Calculator
Strip bookmaker margin (overround) to extract true implied probability across Multiplicative, Additive, Power, and Shin models.
Core Model:
P_fair = (1 / O_i) / Σ(1 / O_k) ● LIVE Try the Calculator →
LIVE
+EV Expected Value Calculator
Quantify betting edge and calculate expected monetary value per wager based on true probabilities and market odds.
Core Model:
EV = (P_win × (Odds - 1)) - (P_loss × 1) ● LIVE Try the Calculator →
LIVE
Kelly Criterion Simulator
Calculate optimal bet sizing using full, half, and quarter Kelly criterion to maximize geometric bankroll growth while minimizing drawdown.
Core Model:
f* = (b × p - q) / b ● LIVE Try the Calculator →
LIVE
Poisson Goal Model
Simulate football goal distributions, project 1X2 probabilities, Over/Under totals, and exact score matrices.
Core Model:
P(X=k) = (λ^k · e^-λ) / k! ● LIVE Try the Calculator →